tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post5262943656764462923..comments2024-03-28T08:06:43.198-04:00Comments on The Silicon Graybeard: The Climate Change Hoax is Worse Than You ThoughtSiGraybeardhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00280583031339062059noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-63334811777132566552019-09-13T22:09:04.592-04:002019-09-13T22:09:04.592-04:00As opposed to the magic being that created every l...As opposed to the magic being that created every living being on the planet <i>ex nihilo</i>? That's more believable?Larryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13296988746956477216noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-39393279894621788412019-09-12T15:43:42.528-04:002019-09-12T15:43:42.528-04:00Don't forget the one celled organism that magi...Don't forget the one celled organism that magically came together and gave birth to trees, mosquitoes, elephants, and every other living thing on the planet.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-60299099175750942392019-09-11T23:15:14.347-04:002019-09-11T23:15:14.347-04:00That problem (misuse of statistics) is very widesp...That problem (misuse of statistics) is very widespread in science as a whole and especially health studies. It's just a truism that, as the great sage Barbie said, "Math is hard". It's also true (in my experience, of course) that biology students often become biology students because they weren't good at math. <br /><br />For a computer modeler to be bad at math is particularly awful, though. Dr. Frank said one of his reviewers railed against his insistence that accuracy and precision aren't the same thing! SiGraybeardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00280583031339062059noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-2547228122435783592019-09-11T22:50:48.830-04:002019-09-11T22:50:48.830-04:00"Climate modelers are evidently not trained i..."Climate modelers are evidently not trained in the scientific method. They are not trained to be scientists. They are not scientists."<br /><br />Although manifestly true, that isn't (and hasn't been) the problem.<br /><br />The problem, as I think Frank's analysis makes clear, is that they aren't statisticians. Still, not only every prediction made, but also every piece of alleged "evidence" put forward is, and has always been, statistical garbage. <br /><br />Typically, they learn just enough statistics to be dangerous. That is, they know how to use the lingo and perform the calculations, but are not at all concerned with whether they use the right methods or calculations to say anything substantive. Then, to top it of, they routinely "dis"-interpret their "statistical" results to proclaim certainty (an impossibility with statistics).<br /><br />Climate-change-ologists are hardly the only group of "registered scienticians" guilty of this; but they are the most egregious violators, the most zealous in trying to cram statistical garbage down others throats, and, therefore, the most dangerous to science, statistics, and society.<br /><br />If someone is to blame for the proliferation of the climate hoax it actually isn't even the Climate-Change-ologists themselves. Rather, it is honest and knowledgeable statisticians who have remained silent for 40 years. Had there been even a handful of individuals like Pat Frank, this whole farce could have been nipped in the bud back in the 1980s, as it should have been.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-30033408080856848572019-09-11T16:57:56.432-04:002019-09-11T16:57:56.432-04:00It is still worse than all that. See my piece her...It is still worse than all that. See my piece here:<br /><br />https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iAohiVlCfZ4Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-66965531290905820722019-09-10T22:44:57.400-04:002019-09-10T22:44:57.400-04:00It's not science, it's religion, one based...It's not science, it's religion, one based in hating people. John Wilderhttp://wilderwealthywise.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-47485982563227769972019-09-10T13:08:16.278-04:002019-09-10T13:08:16.278-04:00Governments have used the Big Lie techique forever...Governments have used the Big Lie techique forever. Well-known examples include: "social security is safe in a lock box", "the Jewish businessmen are ruining the Fatherland", and "Jesus Christ is the son of God. If you believe in him he will restore you from backup after death to a virtual brain in the cloud. If you were nice you will be running on Linode; if you were naughty, Azure."Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-79836008954597269882019-09-10T13:06:16.780-04:002019-09-10T13:06:16.780-04:00I recall hearing, maybe two decades ago, that at l...I recall hearing, maybe two decades ago, that at least one of the climate models had been implemented by a programmer who didn't understand the limitations of finite-precision floating-point arithmetic. Get that little detail wrong, and even a mathematically-correct model will give wild results after enough iterations.<br />As I like to say: any model of Earth's climate that has butterfly effects in it is as cockeyed as Trenco's ether.Eric Wilnerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04351991168469225129noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-86252488905251470182019-09-10T07:47:49.966-04:002019-09-10T07:47:49.966-04:00Weather Forecast (or I should say BAD weather fore...Weather Forecast (or I should say BAD weather forecasts) are a pet peeve of mine. I used to train new forecasters. One of the things I would always impress upon them when their forecast busted was the need to understand why it failed so that they could improve. The first reason for failure was usually a failure to properly analyze the data or to use bad assumptions. Second reason was bad timing or failure to propagate conditions as quickly or as slowly as the real world required. And third but certainly not least, some people are just not cut out to be forecasters and I would counsel that they should explore other career fields, little did I know that they could become the rock star modelers for the Climate Change Scam Artist.<br /><br />MSG Grumpy MSG Grumpyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10789315545377882421noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-90202141295503924602019-09-10T07:26:37.980-04:002019-09-10T07:26:37.980-04:00They falsify the data and their models are incoher...They falsify the data and their models are incoherent. This has been known for at least a decade. The Left is immune to reality, facts, and logic.McChuckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10243337792601085456noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-91627171415266708962019-09-10T05:50:32.838-04:002019-09-10T05:50:32.838-04:00There are too many people, heavily invested in per...There are too many people, heavily invested in perpetuating the hoax for financial advantage and social advantage (the crisis can generate trillions of dollars for people who service the hoax). I'm sure that it will be completely ignored. <br /><br />(and Google released their lock on my comments for the time being - cool)LLhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05538854359365988863noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1592992209402300549.post-92093403391376688532019-09-10T05:20:46.559-04:002019-09-10T05:20:46.559-04:00They computer models and weather forecasters can&#...They computer models and weather forecasters can's predict a hurricane's direction 4-5 days out and we are supposed to trust them to tell us the temperature and ocean height in 2100? I think not.Irishhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09772405362867585844noreply@blogger.com