The annual lists are starting to show up;
at least the one at Ars Technica.
In other years, I've started off with "we know who #1 is; let's look at the
rest." That still applies, but if you'll remember
New Year's day's post
about SpaceX setting yet another world record for successful launches in a
year, you might appreciate a little extra. I get the independent daily
newsletter Payload, and they included a year by year graphic showing orbital
launches for the world since '22.
It's on their website. I added a little detail for 2025 that I'm pretty sure is larger in numbers
than in prior years, but similar in overall look. I added lines for SpaceX's
portion of US launches and a total for China and the rest of the world.
So let's look at the rest. Ars Technica / Eric Berger Rank them this way:
- SpaceX
- Blue Origin
- Rocket Lab
- ULA
- Northrop Grumman
- Firefly
- Stoke Space
- Relativity Space
- Astra
- Phantom Space and Vaya Space
The source piece also shows their status vs. last year. For example, Blue
Origin is up two, switching places with ULA. Instead of just copying what Eric
Berger thought, I'm going to inject my own opinions. After all, Top 10 ratings
of anything are nothing but an opinion topic.
Rocket Lab (higher than Ars)
My first disagreement with Berger is I make Rocket Lab #2 instead of
Blue, Rocket lab seems to me to have had a better year, with the only
drawback to them compared to Blue is that their Electron rocket is for smaller
payloads than New Glenn. Bigger is fine, but New Glenn had two flights
and Rocket Lab had 18 missions that were completely successful. Not quite
"every other week" (26) but better than New Glenn.
Rocket Lab has now gone nearly three dozen launches without a failure. The
company also continued to make progress on its medium-lift Neutron vehicle,
although its debut was ultimately delayed to mid-2026, at least.
Additionally, Rocket Lab continued its ascendance as a spacecraft company.
It played a key role in supporting Firefly’s Blue Ghost lander at the
beginning of this year, and in November, its two ESCAPADE vehicles were
safely switched on after launch, beginning their journey to Mars.
Blue Origin (same as Ars)
Blue Origin had a very good year. They finally got New Glenn off the ground
with two successful test flights. Suddenly making the list of "contenders"
that they've never been on. The bigger success is probably the second flight
that not only successfully made orbit, like the first, but recovered the
booster on their recovery drone ship.
This section would not be complete without copying the joke that Eric Berger
stuck in his first paragraph:
This is the biggest mover on the list, leaping from No. 4 on the list to No.
2, and this is, of course, because Jeff Bezos’ company
sent Katy Perry into space. (They could have achieved No. 1 had they not brought her back).
Northrop Grumman (higher than Ars)
This puts Northrop Grumman higher than ULA in my rankings because I think they
had a better year.
Only one other US company had a successful orbital launch in 2025, and it
was Northrop Grumman. In April, the company’s Minotaur IV rocket carried a
payload into orbit for the National Reconnaissance Office.
The ding against them is that they're still depending on SpaceX for launches
of their Cygnus cargo missions to the ISS because although they're committed
to and working on their Antares 330 rocket, it's behind schedule.
Meanwhile, they increased the size of the Cygnus to what they're calling
Cygnus XL.
As an interesting side note, Northrop also provides solid rocket boosters
for ULA’s Vulcan rocket and NASA’s Space Launch System (SLS) vehicle.
United Launch Alliance (lower than Ars)
I think that ULA had a disappointing year. They were saying
they'd get up to 10 Vulcan missions
and had one.
In late 2024, the company’s CEO, Tory Bruno, told reporters that ULA aimed
to launch as many as 20 missions in 2025, with roughly an even split between
the legacy Atlas V launcher and Vulcan. Now, it’s likely that ULA will close
out 2025 with six flights—five with the Atlas V and just one with the Vulcan
rocket that the company is so eager to accelerate into service.
On the one Vulcan flight there was a problem with a solid rocket booster.
There's persistent speculation that investigation is what grounded the
Vulcan.
Firefly (same as Ars)
Firefly had a wonderful start to the year.
The year 2025 started out with a bang—a good one—for Firefly. In January,
the company’s Blue Ghost lander launched on a Falcon 9 rocket and
subsequently landed on the Moon. This was an extremely impressive
achievement, as Firefly became the first private company to complete a fully
successful soft landing on the Moon.
Unfortunately that was their end of success in 2025. They have been working on
their Alpha rocket and had one launch that failed to put its payload in orbit.
That was in April. In September they were working toward a second launch when
the vehicle blew up on the launch pad. Perhaps the fact that Firefly is the
contractor working on the Antares 330 launch vehicle for Northrop Grumman is
why that vehicle is late.
In the next few places, we're dealing with companies that have no history that
I'm familiar with so I'll just leave this section to Eric Berger at Ars.
Stoke Space
All I really know about Stoke is some things published about their concepts of
a launch vehicle and
some neat pictures. They seem well-funded and will probably have a real launch within a year or
two.
Relativity Space
All I really know about them has probably been superceded by now. They were
bought by former Google CEO
Eric Schmidt and it seemed he was intent on building power stations in
space to run AI systems in space.
Astra
They're said to be working on a rocket in the payload range of Rocket Lab's
electron, 600kg to LEO.
Phantom Space and Vaya Space
Unlike the previous two, I've never heard of either one of these. Eric said
they're here for only two minor reasons: To do a "Top 10" list, he needed two
more, and the two of them are sharing a launch complex, SLC-13, at Cape
Canaveral Space Force Station.
Hey, if it's good enough for the big guys in the business, it's good enough
for us.
Stoke Space's novel rocket engines for steering thrust without gimballing engines. More info here. Image credit: Stoke Space