Seems like only the other day when every episode of Star Trek coming into the living room started with that line, "Space: the final frontier. " Buried in the shows most, if not all, episodes implied that the Starship Enterprise was key in many battles. The final frontier was another front line in another battle. And that was absolutely not unique to the Star Trek story universe.
Space has been an environment that has been involved in every war story since about the mid-1960s, and this week, US Space Command let us know that they know the Russians have crossed the line of putting satellites intended as anti-satellite weapons in orbits that would allow them to attack other countries' satellites in orbit.
Gen. Stephen Whiting didn’t name the system, but he was almost certainly referring to a Russian military program named Nivelir, which has launched four satellites shadowing US spy satellites owned by the National Reconnaissance Office in low-Earth orbit. After reaching orbit, the Nivelir satellites have released smaller ships to start their own maneuvers, and at least one of those lobbed a mystery object at high velocity during a test in 2020. US analysts concluded this was a projectile that could be fired at another satellite.
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The newest suspected Nivelir satellite was launched last May from the Plesetsk Cosmodrome in northern Russia. Its launch was precisely timed for the moment Earth’s rotation spun Plesetsk underneath the orbital plane of the NRO’s USA 338 Keyhole-class optical spy satellite. Civilian missions heading to the International Space Station launch with similarly precise timing, down to the second, to intersect with the space station’s orbital plane.
The next line here is that "US officials" likened the Nivelir basic operation to the famous Russian Matryoshka dolls, those nested dolls that contain another, smaller doll, or a series of several smaller dolls inside each other. Perhaps naturally, they view this as evidence that the Russians are putting satellites in orbit that can strike US satellites on very short notice.
“It’s evident Russia was deploying a space weapon there, and they’re putting it into an orbit where they can reach critical US national security satellites,” Whiting said Tuesday at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington.
“It would be the same as if we had a new fighter, maybe the new F-47 that the Air Force is going to acquire, with a new missile system, and we decided, instead of testing that on our test ranges back in Nevada or Utah, we decided to send that airplane up to Alaska, and as Russian bombers were flying patrols somewhat near our coastline, we sent this brand new F-47 up to test near a Russian bomber,” Whiting said. “It’s just not the kind of thing we traditionally see.”
The field of using satellites to work on other satellites already on orbit, from LEO out to the Geosynchronous orbits, is getting a lot of attention these days. The first article I think I posted on this topic was on February 28, 2020 and was a mission by Northrop Grumman to send a dedicated Mission Extension Vehicle out to rendezvous with a retired (and pushed farther out into space) Intelsat communications satellite in that far orbit, push it back toward the Geosynchronous orbit and return it to service. If their intent would have been to rendezvous and dock with a functioning satellite in orbit and remove it or destroy it, the math is pretty much the same.
So far, none of the Nivelir satellites have gotten closer than a few dozen miles from their NRO counterparts. But they launched into orbits that would allow Russian commanders to approach US spy satellites with little warning. That is no coincidence, according to US officials. Launching these missions just a few minutes earlier or later would put them into a different orbital plane, making it much more difficult—perhaps impossible, depending on fuel loading—to get close to or strike one of the US spy satellites. The circumstances suggest intentionality.
“So the Russians were testing weapons near our satellites,” Whiting said. “And now we assess they’re through testing, and now they’re putting operational systems up within orbit reach of our high-value satellites. It’s evident what they’re doing, and we maintain constant vigilance watching that.”
If anyone talks about this as completely out of nowhere or unexpected, that seems naive to me. Russia has considered us to be at least a rival if not an enemy practically since the communist government was founded early in the last century. Prudence would say they should keep an eye on us. If they wanted to "start something," going first with something like these Nivelir sats to blind us makes sense.
Whiting said Russia “has come to the conclusion that they’re a conventional arms deficit” compared to the United States and its NATO allies. Russian forces are seeking to get an asymmetric advantage anywhere they can.
“They’re looking for novel ways to try to balance that correlation of forces, to use a Soviet term,” Whiting said. “So they’re looking at nuclear, cyber, and space, and that’s why, when we read the reports over the last two years that Russia may be considering placing a nuclear ASAT [anti-satellite] on orbit, we find those just incredibly troubling.”
A space-based camera owned by the Australian company HEO captured this view of
Kosmos 2558, one of Russia's suspected Nivelir satellites in low-Earth orbit.
Credit: HEO























