Thursday, August 8, 2024

Boeing's Space Launch System - There's Nothing Like It

There's nothing quite like it; so thank God in whatever way you can. 

There's nothing like it because there's nothing as bad as it is. Every report on every aspect of the Space Launch System (SLS) is worse than the one before it.  Every milestone is late. Every cost target is over budget. 

The latest is a report on the Exploration Upper Stage (EUS) and is the first I've seen on the EUS. We can be thankful that the Europa Clipper probe to that named moon of Jupiter was moved to a Falcon Heavy and is set for launch Oct 10, 2024. Part of the reason was the EUS was going to be delayed too long, but the White House, in the closing weeks of the Trump administration, had to get Congress to cancel the law they passed mandating Europa Clipper fly on the SLS

The NASA program to develop a new upper stage for the Space Launch System rocket is seven years behind schedule and significantly over budget, a new report from the space agency's inspector general finds. However, beyond these headline numbers, there is also some eye-opening information about the project's prime contractor, Boeing, and its poor quality control practices.

The new Exploration Upper Stage, a more powerful second stage for the SLS rocket that made its debut in late 2022, is viewed by NASA as a key piece of its Artemis program to return humans to the Moon. The current plan calls for the use of this new upper stage beginning with the second lunar landing, the Artemis IV mission, currently scheduled for 2028. In NASA parlance, the upgraded version of the SLS rocket is known as Block 1B.

Poor quality control? That new report focuses on Boeing's quality control practices at the Michoud Assembly Facility in southern Louisiana, where the Exploration Upper Stage is being manufactured. Federal observers have issued a striking number of "Corrective Action Requests" to Boeing. The report points out the root cause of these issues is that “Boeing’s quality control issues are largely caused by its workforce having insufficient aerospace production experience. The lack of a trained and qualified workforce increases the risk that the contractor will continue to manufacture parts and components that do not adhere to NASA requirements and industry standards.”

Not surprisingly, the "lack of a trained and qualified workforce" has resulted in more parts being rejected, causing more time wasted and more cost incurred. Based on readers who have commented here, I think this statement isn't going to surprise a single person:

According to the new report, "unsatisfactory" welding operations resulted in propellant tanks that did not meet specifications, which directly led to a seven-month delay in the program.

And I think nobody who has read much about SLS will be surprised by this follow-on.

NASA's inspector general was concerned enough with quality control to recommend that the space agency institute financial penalties for Boeing’s noncompliance. However, in a response to the report, NASA's deputy associate administrator, Catherine Koerner, declined to do so. "NASA interprets this recommendation to be directing NASA to institute penalties outside the bounds of the contract," she replied. "There are already authorities in the contract, such as award fee provisions, which enable financial ramifications for noncompliance with quality control standards."

The lack of enthusiasm by NASA to penalize Boeing for these issues will not help the perception that the agency treats some of its contractors with kid gloves.

The report estimates that the entire development of this Exploration Upper Stage will be over budget by $5.7 billion before it ultimately launches. The last time they revised their cost estimate was last December. Here we are just eight months after that estimate and they're already $700 million over that. 

In refusing to penalize Boeing for these quality issues, NASA and Deputy Associate Catherine Koerner are actually rewarding Boeing for these quality issues. This is a "cost plus" contract. It pays for all of Boeing's expenses, plus a fee. That style contract is incentivizing things like hiring the untrained and unqualified workforce. Need some welders? Go find some winos that have never been within 10 feet of a welding setup. If it takes more time and the stage needs to be scrapped and rebuilt - you make money on it instead of paying for it. 

NASA's Inspector General's report included this graphic showing the expected delivery date of the EUS from 2016 until last October. Notice that in October of 2016, the expected delivery was February of 2021. In March of '21, already late, the new expected delivery was October of '23. Every update of the chart moves the expected delivery out. 14 months later, in May of '22, the delivery had slipped 15 months to January of '25. Another 13 months later, June of '23, moved the delivery 14 months to March of '26. The last one is Even Worse. 

This is almost funny it's so incompetently bad. Almost. When I think about it, the humor leaves and anger takes its place.



21 comments:

  1. Mmm?
    these my tax dollars or yours?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Boeing now seems to exist to make SpaceX look awesome.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Cost+ contracts have their place: e.g. for things that have never been done before and we aren't sure they CAN be done.

    However, we know that you can build a capsule that can land on the moon and return. Its no longer rocket science, its only rocket engineering.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I've said this "Cost+ contracts have their place: e.g. for things that have never been done before " exactly, almost word for word, dozens of times. Which clearly never applied to SLS. There are no new, untested technologies in use on SLS. I don't recall where I first saw it, but someone said it stands for "the Shuttles' Leftover Shit". They're literally using the exact same engines that flew on the shuttles, have been reused, and now get thrown away after each flight.

      Delete
  4. Man, I remember the quiet interviews of the welders on the F-1 engines. Bazillion welds, all pretty much done to perfection. The very epitome of pretty welding. And all welds got X-rayed and other-rayed and proved. Just the baffle-plates were wonders of modern welding.

    Now? SpaceX has shown that most welding can be done by machine, and that actual manual welding is easy if you pay the right wages.

    SLS, you need to go away. All managers involved need to be cold-tarred and feathered. Any government person, bureaucratic or congressional, that worked to give Boeing special privileges and hid bad stuffs (because, quite frankly, we've been hearing whispers about how bad SLS is for a long time, so people in the know have known the truth) need to be hot-tarred and feathered.

    Bastids. Who do they think they are, the ESA? NASA and the SLS are not supposed to be a government-funded works program.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I work in a similar industry. At the same time as we have seen a large number of older experienced workers retire, we've had a hiring frenzy , and it seems to be overrepresented with diversity. While some are competent, many are not and programs are suffering as a result. Don't just blame the managers, they have to deal with the workforce they're given by HR. They consequently overload the competent who burn out and resent the incompetent and slackers who are hard to fire, and so quit, exacerbating the effect. This is the unintended, "unanticipated" consequence of DIE. The problem starts at the cultural level and there are adverse outcomes for saying the emperor has no clothes. Ultimately it boils down to good times create weak men....it will change, but we will probably have lost our technological dominance by then.
      Differ

      Delete
    2. I think we've alread ylost a pretty big chunk of it, anon.....

      Delete
    3. Welding? First, show me your school certificates. Then, here's 6 different materials and 4 different weld techniques, you must pass inspection by the senior floor welder before we even think about hiring you. Then we'll think about it. What? You don't have tech school or military certificates? You don't know how to use this common welder? Bu-bye.

      Same with any tech field. Where did you learn it, and prove it. Simple but complex tech test.

      Sheesh, when I went to get a staff ass(istant) position, I had to prove I knew how to answer a phone (including a test) and how to file and typing and spreadsheet tests.

      Seriously, how hard is it to weed out posers and incompetents?

      And, no, what wedding tackle you have or don't have or think you have or cut off what you have, melanin content, religious or irreligious persuasions don't matter or shouldn't matter at all. Can you do the damned job without causing more problems than you can solve? Okay. If not, sod off.

      Delete
  5. One wonders how much of this is directly due to DEI at Boeing?

    ReplyDelete
  6. Why should this surprise anyone? Half the fedgov is, at this point, a money laundering operation. The other half is, of course, "compliance".

    What's the difference between the mafia and the government? You can generally trust a mafia Don to keep his word.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you paid your Mafia "taxes", they actually PROTECTED you.
      Seen any sign of that from your government lately?

      Delete
    2. " Half the fedgov is, at this point, a money laundering operation. "

      Don't be so negative, McChuck. It's at least 75%.

      Delete
  7. I work in a federally regulated industry and I can assure you such findings would not be met with the same "laissez faire" the Deputy Director has shown. Product would be seized and plants shut down.

    It is far past the time to pull the plug on this. Perhaps give the money to SpaceX and see what they can accomplish.

    ReplyDelete
  8. This is "business as usual"...

    ReplyDelete
  9. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  10. The funny thing is everybody seems to think this all only applies to Boeing but we know better, don't we? Everything now made by Defense and NASA contractors reflects the exact same focus on the bottom line and ROI. Nobody at any level cares about quality and meeting specification. Not in missiles, air frames, satellites, any of it outside SpaceX.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is, after all, the very reason COTS (Commercial Off The Shelf) programs were started.

      Delete
    2. Even COTS is not a solution. Rarely does a COTS item satisfy all the requirements. Then, if it is necessary, it gets an RFP for modifications to meet the reqs, and becomes MOTS, at which point all bets are off. Even if it is un modified,

      Delete
    3. ...darn fat thumb....un-modified, getting the software/firmware development evidence to satisfy the required level of rigor for the application is often difficult and costly for items which weren't designed in the last 15 years.
      Nothing is simple.

      Delete