The Blue Origin news shocked me. You might remember
the early January story
about a mechanical mock-up of their New Glenn rocket being on the pad at Cape
Canaveral Space Force Station and it getting lots of press coverage despite
the hardware being prominently labeled "NOT FOR FLIGHT."
They've done themselves one better.
On Wednesday, engineers rolled a full-scale New Glenn rocket, partially made
up of flight hardware, to launch complex 36 on CCSFS for ground testing.
The first New Glenn launch is almost certainly at least six months away, and
it may not even happen this year. In the last few years, observers inside
and outside the space industry have become accustomed to the nearly annual
ritual of another New Glenn launch delay. New Glenn's inaugural flight has
been delayed from 2020 until 2021, then 2022, and for now, is slated for
later this year.
But it feels different now. Blue Origin is obviously moving closer to
finally launching a rocket into orbit.
On the face of it, this makes me think about some of the things discussed back
in
December about Bezos Saying the quiet part out loud
in a
two hour interview
with podcaster Lex Fridman to talk about Amazon, Blue Origin, his business
practices, and more.
During the interview, Bezos candidly acknowledged this. "Blue Origin needs
to be much faster, and it's one of the reasons that I left my role as the
CEO of Amazon a couple of years ago," he said. "I wanted to come in, and
Blue Origin needs me right now. Adding some energy, some sense of urgency.
We need to move much faster. And we're going to."
Part of the efforts Bezos has been putting in included hiring Blue's new CEO
Dave Limp, to push that effort to move faster, and be more decisive. It
seems the staff has gotten the memo and that December article about the
mock-up being at the pad is evidence of that. Not just the mock-up but
mounting a test article second stage to a flight-rated first stage and testing
mechanical fits and interconnections at the pad.
The New Glenn on the pad at LC-36 is flight hardware and it will be subjected
to all the tests required to prepare a vehicle for launch.
Getting New Glenn to the launch pad is a major milestone for Blue Origin.
This is undoubtedly a turning point for the privately funded New Glenn
program, but there is a lot left to do before the rocket is ready to fly.
The next step will involve "several demonstrations of cryogenic fluid
loading, pressure control, and the vehicle's venting systems," Blue Origin
said. According to a
report published by Aviation Week, Blue Origin will load this particular test vehicle with cryogenic liquid
nitrogen as a stand-in for the super-cold methane and liquid oxygen
propellants used by the first stage booster on an actual launch. The upper
stage won't be loaded during this upcoming Integrated Tanking Test (ITT).
Dave Limp, Blue Origin's new CEO, left, and founder Jeff Bezos observe the New
Glenn rocket on its launch pad Wednesday at CCSFS. Image credit:
Jeff Bezos via Instagram.
New Glenn has been easy to ignore because it has been like a twin of SLS in
being consistently late. The first flight of the heavy-lift rocket has
been talked about and missed every year since 2020 and is being talked about for
later this year -- with a lot of people saying it will be 2025. While we
may smirk at the small launch startups and say, "nice, but they've never made
orbit," Blue Origin has never made orbit either. That means New Glenn may be
the oldest rocket design - on paper - that has never flown.
It's capable of lifting payloads to orbit of nearly 100,000 pounds, which
ranks it above ULA's Vulcan Centaur and behind SpaceX's Falcon Heavy. It
has been designed with reuse in mind, with a target of 25 missions at minimum,
with the first stage intended to land on an offshore recovery ship much like
the Falcon 9. At more than 320 feet tall, New Glenn is roughly the same
height as the SLS rocket and nearly as tall as the Saturn V used in the Apollo
program. Only the Starship/Super Heavy towers above it.
Because of that "launch was talked about and missed every year since 2020"
history, I'm not inclined to give them the benefit of doubt and say New Glenn
will launch this year, although if you read that linked article at Ars
Technica, you may come away thinking they will make it this year. I'll
be happy for them and interested in watching the first launch, but "I'll
believe it when I see it."
Did I say two shockers?
Making news yesterday is that it appears
Blue Origin is going to be the buyer of United Launch Alliance.
Blue Origin, the rocket company owned by Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, has
emerged as the sole finalist to buy United Launch Alliance.
The sale is not official, and nothing has been formally announced. The
co-owners of United Launch Alliance (ULA), Lockheed Martin and Boeing, have
yet to comment publicly on the sale of the company, which, until the rise of
SpaceX, was the sole major launch provider in the United States. They
declined again on Wednesday.
I find it interesting that Bezos is on record selling $2.4 billion in Amazon
stock and, in his mandatory securities filings, disclosed that he could sell
an additional $8 billion to $9 billion in stock over the next 12 months.
While there's no real quoted price to buy ULA, industry speculation is that it
would be sold for somewhere around 2 to $3 billion. How convenient.
He can buy ULA with some cash he figuratively recovered from between his
sofa cushions.