Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Ian Landfall Comparison

In my previous post, I mentioned that Ian's predicted landfall from last Friday matches the current prediction better than anything since then - around an area called Port Charlotte, south of Tampa Bay.  I took this morning's plot and the one I posted then to compare the two.  Because they always center the plots differently, if you're not familiar with Florida you might have to study this.

The winds in the left panel are in the upper limits of category four, so my prediction about it not being likely able to hit 140 was clearly wrong.  I'll follow that wrong prediction with another.  The winds will come down from that peak.

1 comment:

  1. Hang in there, SiG! I know this ain't your first rodeo, but be careful.