First, boy, was I stupid to think that the polling organizations don't know what they're doing. Yes, it didn't make sense to me why they were adjusting their samples like they were (and it still doesn't make sense), but whatever "secret sauce" they were adding, they got it about right. In my biz, we refer to doing things based on "engineering judgement"; it's the summation of all your experience with similar systems. I guess their adjustments were "pollsters' judgement" - although I did hear Scott Rasmussen say he had no idea how it would really turn out.
It was a bad day all the way around. Here in Florida, conservative star Alan West is deep in recount (they jerry-mandered his district to engineer this). We were unable to dump Senator Bill Nelson, a dependable rubber stamp for Obama. I'll never forget the first time I sent him a letter about about something - he answered it about four months later with a curt brushoff. An Orlando democrat known for insane histrionics, Alan Grayson, voted out in 2010, engineered a way back into the house. There are local stories that the Orange County Democrats contributed big bucks to his eventual opponent during the Republican primary because they thought the guy Grayson eventually faced was more beatable. Alcee Hastings, a Democratic representative from south Florida was re-elected by something like 85 to 15% over an NPA opponent. So what? He was a judge convicted of soliciting bribes in 1989, impeached, kicked out of his office. After some time (presumably learning better criminal skills) he ran again and has been a fixture in office ever since. He has a constant barrage of allegations of criminal or unethical behavior against him, but he keeps getting re-elected.
At some point, you have to say, "South Florida, if you keep electing criminals, don't be surprised when they rob you".
Elsewhere, my personal favorite Mia Love was defeated in her bid for the House of Representatives - black Republican women get even less respect than white Republican women - in the same way black conservatives are attacked more than whites.
So what can we expect? As Obama told Russian President Dmitry Medvedev,
"This is my last election," Obama said. "After my election I have more flexibility."Expect more flexibility. More executive orders. Expect a carbon tax, if not outright carbon trading (cap and trade) because Sandy was caused by Global Warmening, doncha know (H/T to Tam). Of course you'll get more taxes and less economic growth. It appears that's not a bug, it's intended.
Hauser's Law demonstrated.
Obamacare, of course, becomes the law of the land. They can pass a few more bills to repeal it with no effect like the 30 or so they've done already, but they can't stop it. More companies will drop their employees' health insurance, as intended - so the Fed.gov can ride to the rescue. As planned. This will, as sure as the sun rises in the east, hurt seniors, poor people, young kids with disabilities - anyone not on the peak of the "whole lives" healthcare system curve. Gun control? Sure. Assault Weapons Ban? Already on the table. Smith and Wesson (SWHC) was up 9.6% today and Sturm Ruger (RGR) was up 6.8%. Already, reports of black rifles being sold out are coming in.
THESE are the times that try men's souls. The summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of their country; but he that stands by it now, deserves the love and thanks of man and woman. Tyranny, like hell, is not easily conquered; yet we have this consolation with us, that the harder the conflict, the more glorious the triumph. What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too lightly: it is dearness only that gives every thing its value. Heaven knows how to put a proper price upon its goods; and it would be strange indeed if so celestial an article as FREEDOM should not be highly rated.